SMARA, Eritrea
This charming nation was hailed in the 1990's as one of Africa's
brightest hopes, a symbol of an African renaissance. Its economy
boomed, and Hillary Clinton dropped by.
It was an apt symbol of that evanescent renaissance, for Eritrea
is now turning into a thuggish little dictatorship. It is
imprisoning evangelical Christians, it jails more journalists than
any other country on the continent, and the regime that once
empowered women now rapes them.
The private sector has been regulated mostly out of existence,
and aid groups are given a cold shoulder. The leader who liberated
his people a decade ago is now starving them.
And in the same way, much of Africa has been caught in a
tailspin. While our attention is diverted by Iraq, famine is looming
over 40 million people on the continent, West Africa seems caught in
an expanding series of civil wars, and much of Central Africa has
been a catastrophe for up to a decade.
In Congo, in which I've had a special interest ever since Tutsi
rebels chased me through the jungle there for several days in 1997,
3.3 million people have died because of warfare there in the last
five years, according to a study by the International Rescue
Committee. That's half a Holocaust in a single country.
Our children and grandchildren may fairly ask, "So, what did you
do during the African holocaust?"
Some African nations, like Uganda, Mauritius, Ghana and
Mozambique, are booming; they show that African countries can
thrive. But the failures outnumber the successes: child mortality
rose in the 1990's in Kenya, Malawi and Zambia; primary school
enrollments dropped in Cameroon, Lesotho, Mozambique and Tanzania;
the number of malnourished children is growing across the
continent.
"We are losing the battle against hunger," warns James Morris,
the head of the World Food Program.
So it's time to rethink this continent. Africa itself has largely
failed, and Western policies toward it have mostly failed as well.
Eritrea is a window into what went wrong. To be sure, even now it
is an alluring country with a gentle people. President Isaias
Afwerki avoids a personality cult; instead of a statue of him, the
central square has a gargantuan pair of sandals, which symbolize the
liberation struggle.
But Mr. Afwerki fought a senseless border war with Ethiopia
beginning in 1998, and now an estimated half the budget goes to the
military. The port is quiet because there is no trade with Ethiopia;
most of the working-age population has been drafted into National
Service, so families have no one to till the ground or earn a
salary. A million Eritreans are at risk of famine.
There are no simple solutions to Africa's problems, but there are
some good ideas around:
¶Western powers could guarantee the security of African
governments that commit themselves to democracy. This idea, which
would attract more investment for democracies, is detailed in a fine
new book, "Africa's Stalled Development."
¶Liberals and conservatives feud over plenty, but they generally
agree on the need for widespread debt forgiveness. Africa is
asphyxiated by its $217 billion foreign debt.
¶Think trade, more than aid. Incentives to build cheap factories
in Senegal or Ethiopia could perhaps replicate Bangladesh's success
with clothing exports.
¶We should phase out socialist agricultural policies in Europe
and America. Western farm subsidies cost poor countries some $50
billion in lost agricultural exports. The best way for the U.S. to
help a struggling democratic country like Mali would be to stop
lavishing $2 billion a year in tax dollars on U.S. cotton farmers
(whose average net worth is $800,000) so Malian peasants can produce
for the world's markets.
Would any of this work? I don't know. But Africa is broken, and
it needs high-level attention to help it fix itself. President
Bush's $15 billion AIDS initiative was an important step, and it
proved surprisingly popular around the United States.
So perhaps there is even a political payoff in compassion for
Africa, and this is also an area where we can work with Europe and
rebuild trust, beginning at next week's G-8 summit. Mr. Bush's
planned trip to Africa this year would be the perfect start for a
major U.S.-led effort to help Africa find its footing — and nothing
we could do in coming years would save so many millions of
lives.